The study is shown to be an overstatement of the data that it presents itself. Says Jytte Klausen, an authority of Islam in Europe at Boston’s Brandeis University:

“There is a quite deliberate exaggeration, as has often been pointed out—but the figures are still being cited,”

This comes from the lead article in the current edition of Newsweek which conclusively debunks the Eurabia myth once and for all in the article ‘Dispelling the Myth of Eurabia’.

As the article says, the numbers of the forecasts simply don’t add up. It also talks shows how the shear diversity of the Muslim demographic in Britain is the very reason why it could never operate as a bloc  - another nightmare scenario which fueled any number of alarmist writers such as the likes of the semi-literate disk jockey Mark Steyn, the oddball Melanie Philips and the man who claimed Barack Obama was a ‘secret Muslim’, Daniel Pipes.

Numbers of births and demography:
Bad news for the centre-right alarmists as this old canard is turned on its head.

For the number of Muslims to outnumber non-Muslims by midcentury, it would require either breeding on a scale rarely seen in history or for immigration to continue at a pace that’s now politically unacceptable. More likely, new controls will slow Muslim immigration. The birthrate for Muslim immigrants is also likely to continue to decline, as it has tended to do, with greater affluence and better health care. There is no Europewide data available, but one study says fertility rates among Turkish-born women in the Netherlands fell from 3.2 in 1990 to 1.9 in 2005, barely above the figure for native-born Dutch. Over the same period, the equivalent figure for Moroccan-born women in the Netherlands dropped from 4.9 to 2.9. Also, fertility rates are edging upward in some Northern European countries, which would offset some of the Muslim growth. Bottom line: given the number of variables, demographers are loath to make predictions about the number of Muslims in Europe in the years to come. “You would almost have to make it up,” says Carl Haub, the senior demographer at the Population Reference Bureau in Washington. And the idea of a Muslim majority any time soon? “Absolutely absurd.”

The homogeneous Muslim bloc:
Bad news for Islamists who thrive on the notion that Islam in Europe is a monolithic entity. No more.

Moreover, the myth of Eurabia implies the existence of a united Islam, a bloc capable of collective and potentially dangerous action. The truth is that there are no powerful Muslim political movements in Europe, either continentwide or at the national level, and the divisions that separate Muslims worldwide, most obviously between Sunnis and Shiites, are apparent in Europe as well. Each major nation in Europe has drawn Muslim immigrants from distinct regions of the Islamic world, often former colonies, with different traditions and outlooks. A British Muslim from Pakistan would struggle to communicate with a French Muslim from Algeria. A second-generation Muslim from Turkey living in Germany will have little in common with a newly arrived Moroccan across the border in Belgium. Sharp differences exist even within national frontiers. In Germany, more than one in 10 Muslims are Alawites, who aren’t even recognized as coreligionists by the more orthodox.